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DSCC QUICK TAKES: THE MEMO: LESS THAN 100 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION–CORTEZ MASTO: PICK A SENATE RACE–GOP LET EMERGENCY UNEMPLOYMENT RELIEF EXPIRE

WHAT TO KNOW LESS THAN 100 DAYS OUT. Democrats have expanded the map and forced Republicans on defense in states across the country, opening more paths to the majority. Read our memo outlining the five key facts to know about the Senate races in the final 100 days. Here is the rundown:

  1. Strong Democratic candidates have expanded the map and created “multiple plausible paths… to a majority.” 
  1. This is a weak class of GOP incumbents: they were either unelected (McSally and Loeffler), barely elected in a GOP wave year of 2014 (Tillis, Gardner, Sullivan), or suddenly face the toughest election of their political careers (Collins, Cornyn, Graham, Ernst, Daines, Perdue).  
  1. Republican outside spending is nearly 100% defensive: GOP outside groups do not have a single offensive ad reservation after Labor Day. 
  1. Democratic Senate candidates grew their fundraising considerably again in Q2, outraising vulnerable Republicans in 13 GOP-held seats.
  1. With a massive public health crisis, the ongoing GOP crusade to dismantle the health care law and end its protections for people with pre-existing conditions has never been a more toxic liability.

Don’t just take our word for it, here’s a look at some of the 100-days analysis:

NEW POLLS: DEMS LEAD IN AZ, ME, MI, AND NC SENATE RACES. A string of new polling over the weekend shows Democratic Senate candidates leading in key battlegrounds: 

  • #AZSEN: Mark Kelly leads Senator McSally, 50% to 43% [CNN]
  • #MESEN: Sara Gideon leads Senator Susan Collins, 47% to 42% [PPP]
  • #MISEN: Senator Gary Peters leads failed politician John James, 54% to 38% [CNN]
  • #NCSEN: Cal Cunningham leads Senator Thom Tillis, 50% to 41% [NBC]

As we outlined in the 100-days memo, these Republican incumbents and candidates have been in danger all cycle long because of their own records — but it’s clear that the toxic political climate is exacerbating those vulnerabilities, particularly on health care.

*NEW DSCC VIDEO* URGES VOTERS, VOLUNTEERS TO HELP #FLIPTHESENATE. Chair Catherine Cortez Masto shared a message with voters and volunteers eager to get involved in Senate races and shared the one-stop shop – FlipTheSenate.com – for supporting and engaging directly with Democratic campaigns across the Senate battlefield.

GOP LET UNEMPLOYMENT RELIEF EXPIRE, NOW MILLIONS FACE FISCAL CLIFF. Emergency unemployment relief that more than 30 million jobless Americans rely on to pay for food, housing and other essential bills expired this weekend because Senate Republicans refused to act. After a two-week break and days of embarrassing infighting in Washington, Mitch McConnell and Senate Republicans took a long weekend off, ignoring the financial struggle families across this country are facing. 

PERDUE CAUGHT MISLEADING VOTERS BY FEATURING GOP OPERATIVE IN ADS. Vulnerable Senator David Perdue was caught running a misleading campaign ad touting his record on health care but not disclosing that the “Sandy Springs, GA” resident featured in the ad was actually a GOP political operative with close ties to the Georgia Republican Party and Republican campaigns.

This isn’t the first time a vulnerable Republican incumbent has attempted to deceive voters about their record on health care like this––unelected Senator Martha McSally has released *two* ads featuring undisclosed GOP operatives front and center in an attempt to mislead Arizonans on her unpopular health care record.

MIKE ESPY AND JAIME HARRISON TALK ABOUT EXPANDING THE MAP. Democratic challengers Mike Espy in Mississippi and Jaime Harrison in South Carolina joined MSNBC’s Tiffany Cross on Sunday morning to discuss their strong and historic campaigns 100 days out from the election and the inclusive vision they have for the future of their states. WATCH:

DEM AD WATCH

GA – In his new 60-second ad, Jon Ossoff holds Senator Perdue accountable for how he has echoed Trump’s lies on the coronavirus and downplayed the threat.

MT – In his latest ad, Governor Steve Bullock touts his record of ensuring zero rural hospitals closed in Montana because of how he’s worked with Republicans and Democrats to expand health coverage and took quick action this year in response to coronavirus.

IN THE STATES

AZ – Reuters: Imperiled Arizona U.S. Senator McSally’s hopes seen riding on Trump train
IA – Quad City Times: Editorial: The Supreme Court charade
IA – Des Moines Register Editorial Board: “A thistle to Sen. Joni Ernst for her supreme hypocrisy on presidential nominees to the highest court in the country”
IA – Cedar Rapids Gazette: Fact Checker: Theresa Greenfield blasts Joni Ernst over ‘illegal contributions’
MT – Bozeman Daily Chronicle (LTE): Bullock real advocate for public land, deserves vote
MT – New York Times: Why Montana Is a Test Case for Democrats’ Winning the Senate
NC – Charlotte Observer Editorial Board: Thom Tillis’ COVID-19 plan is thoughtful, thorough and way too late

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MEMO: Five Facts for the Final 100 Days

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