As first reported by National Journal today, a recent poll conducted by GBAO for the DSCC confirms South Carolina is a toss-up race that Democrats can win, with Jaime Harrison leading by 1 point. Like all other recent public and private polls, this survey shows the race is a virtual tie where Harrison holds significant advantages over longtime Senator Lindsey Graham — including a double digit lead with independents.
“South Carolina isn’t just in play, it’s a seat Democrats can flip in November,” said DSCC spokesperson Stewart Boss. “Jaime Harrison has built a juggernaut campaign and our polling confirms why Senator Graham and Washington Republicans are in a full-blown panic about losing this race.”
Cook Political Report shifted the South Carolina Senate race rating to Toss-Up yesterday, as Republicans “have privately voiced frustrations that Graham’s campaign didn’t take the challenge from Harrison…seriously enough from the get-go.” Last week, Mitch McConnell’s super PAC was forced to start dumping $10 million into South Carolina to prop up the increasingly vulnerable incumbent. While Senator Graham has become an almost constant fixture on Fox News “begging for money” with desperate pleas for help, Harrison’s campaign raised more in August than Graham did during all of Q2. In September, the DSCC announced a seven-figure coordinated investment in Harrison’s campaign to bolster spending on TV ads as well as polling, field organizing and data tools, and other resources.
Key findings from the poll:
An internal poll for the DSCC conducted by GBAO Strategies and shared exclusively with Hotline (Sept. 24-28; 800 LVs; +/-3.5%) found DNC Associate Chair Jaime Harrison (D) leading Sen. Lindsey Graham (R), 48%-47%, with Constitution Party candidate Bill Bledsoe bringing in 3%.
Bledsoe dropped out of the race and endorsed Graham since the poll was conducted. However, he left the race too late for his name to be taken off the ballot.
The poll also found Trump leading Biden, 49%-44%.
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